NFL Picks, Super Bowl

Well, that was an interesting weekend, wasn’t it? No football at all for the first time in months. I don’t like it one bit. I guess I better get used to it though, considering the last big game is played tomorrow.

I hate this time of year. Football is ending, baseball isn’t quite here yet and we still have to wait another month for the Madness that is March. The only thing I know of that can get me through this horrible month of February is...money.

Money can be a cure when no one else can think of anything. Most of you readers were probably a little down after I dropped that 0-4 bomb during the divisional round of the playoffs. Fortunately, if you stayed true to the picks, then during the conference title games you cleaned house because I swept them (2-0).

Everyone has bad weeks, but I had a great season overall. Hopefully, you all made some money this NFL season by listening to me. I know I did. Anyhow, for the last pick of the season, the winner is…

Super Bowl: Indianapolis Colts (12-4) vs. Chicago Bears (13-3)

I know I wrote that the NFC title game between the Bears and the Saints was the ultimate meeting of offense versus defense. That was before the cold weather, hostile crowd, and the Saints blunders turned the game into a false prediction. The weather in Miami will not be cold. The crowd in Miami should be about 50-50 (give or take a few thousand) and Peyton Manning has shown that he is very capable of getting over this “hump” people keep talking about. This game will certainly be about "offense versus defense", even more so than the NFC title game. Sure, in some ways it will be the Colts offense versus the Bears defense, but mostly it will be about the Colts defense versus the Bears offense.

The Colts are going to score some points on the Bears. The Bears are going to stop the Colts some too. Peyton will throw at least one interception, but also at least one touchdown pass. This is not the key match-up. The key will be whether or not the Colts can stop the run. The key will be whether or not Rex Grossman plays like a donkey. These are the keys to the Super Bowl.

In the end, I am torn between who I want to win and who I think will win. I would like to see Peyton will the big game so that people will shut the hell up about how he can’t win it. There is nothing I hate more in sports than a story that gets too much coverage. I just can’t shake this feeling though, that the Bears WIN (yeah, you heard right) this game. Now, I’m not telling you to take the money line on this game. I keep hearing people say things like, “The Colts should be favored by 14 points - they are gonna kill ‘em!” I guess I just don’t see it.

The people that make the lines make a very good living off of it. They know what they are doing, more than anyone possibly could. Honestly, I don’t know how they can do it. I just accept that they know more than me, and try to read what they are doing as best I can. With that in mind, the bet this weekend is the Chicago Bears (+7).

This is my last NFL post for the season (gambling post anyhow), but don’t worry too much because I also write picks for the NBA. Remember to check back here every day starting on Monday for potential daily picks. For one last time this football season: happy gambling to you all!

NFL Picks: Divisional Round

The first playoff weekend started off wonderfully…and ended not so well. After going 2-0 on the Saturday games, Sunday turned out to be just the opposite. This weekend I strive for perfection, but then again...I always do. So what makes this weekend different?

This weekend’s games are the division winners. Every single Wild Card team lost last weekend, meaning the only teams left were good enough to win their respective divisions. Personally, I think that is the way it should be from the start, but we’ll get into that another time. Anyhow...on to this weekend’s games.

Game One: Indianapolis Colts (12-4) at Baltimore Ravens (13-3)

What a great game this appears to be on paper. Peyton Manning and his prolific offense facing Ray-Ray and his dominant defense. I love these games. What I love even more is making money on these games. Peyton will really miss having Edge in the backfield today, because of his blitz pick-up abilities. Look for the Ravens to constantly send the linebackers today because their corners have the talent to stay with Marvin and Reggie. I’m taking the Ravens (-4).

Game Two: Philadelphia Eagles (10-6) at New Orleans Saints (10-6)

In the first meeting between the teams this year, the Saints were able to run out the clock and kick a field goal as time expired to take the win. Did I mention that they ran off about half of the 4th quarter on that same game winning drive? Both teams are quite different than they were in that game though. The Saints have continued their winning ways, but have looked beatable at times. The Eagles, meanwhile, have won 6 straight games and are looking very solid. Add the fact that I’m an Eagles fan, and I think we both know who I’m taking…THE SAINTS! Take the Saints (-5).

Game Three: Seattle Seahawks (9-7) at Chicago Bears (13-3)

The name in this game, as I’m sure everyone knows, is Rex Grossman. Basically, when betting this game one needs to decide which Rex will show up. Is it the Rex who hits his WRs on long passes for easy scores or the Rex who hits defenders on short passes…also for easy scores? I’m betting on the decent Rex. I think the Bears will run the ball, play tough defense, and win this game pretty easily. Even if Rex doesn’t have a super game, his defense can score enough points to get the win. Plus, the Bears have a return man who could outscore the Seahawks by himself. Watch out for him. I’m taking the Bears (-8.5).

Game Four: New England Patriots (12-4) at San Diego Chargers (14-2)

This has the makings of a great game. The MVP of the league against a Super Bowl MVP should be a great game. Tom Brady didn’t get his annual Pro Bowl selection this year and I think he is a bit miffed. The man who took his spot is Philip Rivers. Rivers, in his first year as a starter, played well enough to be voted to Hawaii over Tom Brady. Of course, he played that well because he had LT2 playing right behind him, beside him, and in front of him. Sure, Rivers is a talented player, but not talented enough to make the Pro Bowl on this team without #21. All this year I have gotten burned by the Chargers and their top running back. Not again. Even though I think Brady comes out firing, I think the Chargers take the game by a touchdown. I’ll take the Chargers (-5).

NFL Picks - Wild Card Weekend

And so...the playoffs begin. With two games on Saturday and two more on Sunday, 2007 is starting off with a bang. This year, more than ever, there have been upsets galore. I cannot remember a season where there have been so many games where the result has been so startling. So how does one know who to bet on? I think that with a little research, winners can be found.Game One: Kansas City Chiefs (9-7) at Indianapolis Colts (12-4)

The Colts reputation in the playoffs precedes them. Everyone knows all about how their regular season dominance quickly turns to losses in the postseason. People know that Indy’s run defense has more holes than a putting green, but it’s what people forget that gives us our winner. People forget that the Chiefs are a terrible road team. I think the Colts are under the radar a little bit, for the first time in years, which gives them a better shot to advance in my mind. The pressure is off, which will lead to big numbers this weekend. I’ll take the Colts (-7).

Game Two: Dallas Cowboys (9-7) at Seattle Seahawks (9-7)

This game might just be the toughest to pick this weekend. Two teams with the same record, the money is split right down the middle, and the line hasn’t moved from where I honestly feel it should be. That being said, I think injuries will be the deciding factor in this game. Dallas is fairly healthy, while Seattle is missing its top three cornerbacks. The Cowboys want nothing more than to run the ball all day. If the Seahawks have to keep the safeties deep all day to help the corners, I see Jones and Barber having big games. If Seattle brings the safeties up to stop the run, T.O. and Glenn could have even bigger days. I’ll take the ‘Boys (+3) in Seattle.

Game Three: New York Jets (10-6) at New England Patriots (12-4)

The Jets are in the playoffs? Did anyone see this coming? If you say yes...you are probably a liar. If you say yes and you aren’t a liar, you should be writing this column instead of me. I think the Pats are a little banged up, a little too old, and a little too confident about this game. Sure, New England will make it to next week, but the Jets' young coach will keep them in this game until the end. Who knows, without their stud kicker, the Pats might even blow this one. I’m going J-E-T-S-JETS JETS JETS (+8.5).

Game Four: New York Giants (8-8) at Philadelphia Eagles (10-6)

At the start of the season, if someone had told me this would be a first round playoff match up, I would not have thought twice about it. After Week 8 of the season, I would have first asked you what you were on, and then asked if I could try some. Now? I still want to try some…but I want even more to pick the winner of this game. The Giants are a team that doesn’t really know which way they are going half the time. The Eagles meanwhile, have been as steady as they come the last 5 weeks. I’ll take the Eagles (-7) and their consistent success this weekend.

Week 16 NFL Picks

Ok, so last weekend didn’t go exactly as planned. Then again, nothing really does. This weekend, the games are ripe for the picking and yours truly is here to help those in need during the holiday season. [Don’t try to tell me that that credit card bill doesn’t scare you a little in light of all the shopping that needed to be done.]

I now stand at 23-14 on the season in the NFL and I plan on increasing my win percentage greatly this weekend. I vow to right the ship I wronged last weekend, and lead it straight back to the Port of Victory [not a real place, don’t Google it]. The only question I have is, are you brave enough to follow?


Game One: Baltimore Ravens (11-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7)

As bad as the Steelers were at the start of this season, they have won enough recently to keep themselves alive in the playoff hunt. By winning 5 of their last 6 games, Pittsburgh has fought its way back from 2-6, and can go above .500 with a win at home on Sunday. And what a win it will be. The Steelers are looking to pay back the Ravens for the 27-0 beating they took in Baltimore just a month ago. I look for Willie Parker and the rest of the Steelers to show their heart in this game, and take a win from their division rivals. Take the Steelers (-3) and have a wonderful Christmas.

Game Two: New England Patriots (10-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (8-6)

The Patriots can clinch the AFC East this weekend with a win, but they can also clinch with a loss by the Jets. In other words, the absolute need is not there. The Jaguars on the other hand, need this win to help keep their playoff hopes alive. A team at home in need is always worth more than a team on the road who doesn’t really feel that desperation yet. Also, the Jaguars have been a terrific home team this season. I’ll take the Jags (-3) on Sunday in what should be a great game for the holidays.

Game Three: Tennessee Titans (7-7) at Buffalo Bills (7-7)

With all the talk about the Titans and quarterback Vince Young lately, this game would appear to be an easy pick. Who wouldn’t like a hot team (winners of 5 straight) getting five points against a team with the same record? The answer is me, that’s who. What people aren’t paying attention to is the play of the other quarterback in this game, J.P. Losman. His play of late (101.5 QB rating over the last 5 games) has really gotten this team playing like a winner. Also, the Titans line looks a little fishy to me. It is about time Vince Young learned what it’s really like to be a rookie QB in the NFL, and Buffalo has the defense that can teach him that lesson. I’m taking the Bills (-5) and suggesting you do the same.

Game Four: Washington Redskins (5-9) at St. Louis Rams (6-8)

The Redskins won me a nice chunk of change last weekend, beating a tough Saints team on the road. With Washington on the road again this week, I expect the same result. Jason Campbell is a nice quarterback who can manage a game when his running game is working. The Rams cannot stop the run, so I look for Betts to have a big day. Most importantly though, the Skin’s defense will dominate from start to finish and give Washington a nice holiday gift. Take the Skins (+2) and give yourself that same gift.

Week 15 NFL Picks

Ok, so I didn’t go 4-0 last week. I actually ended up at 2-2. Some would tell you that a push week is good enough in sports gambling, and most times I would agree. But I set higher standards for myself than I do for others. With that in mind...this week I go big.

I’m still looking good at 22-11 on the season, but anything less than 3-1 this weekend will be a bust. Wouldn’t you like a little extra cash around the holiday season? Of course. Are you going to tell me they couldn’t use some extra spending money? Is anyone that rich? If you are, then more power to you. If not, wouldn’t you like to be? Join me this weekend and cash in on the big winners I will provide. Here’s hoping you have a happy gambling weekend.

Game One: Detroit Lions (2-11) at Green Bay Packers (5-8)
The Lions just aren’t having a season to remember. Actually, it’s more of a season to forget. They are 2-11, just lost their top running back for the season, and have to play against Brett Favre and the Packers this weekend in Green Bay. The Packers are going for their 15th straight win at home against the Lions. Yes, 15th straight home win against a team that just lost a key player. I think the streak could very well stay alive this weekend, but I do not like the line. I’m taking the Lions (+5.5) on Sunday, won’t you join me?

Game Two: Miami Dolphins (6-7) at Buffalo Bills (6-7)
As strange as this may sound, these two teams are still fighting for a playoff spot. It certainly has been a while since the Dolphins and Bills were involved in that race, but it has been a long time coming. These two teams are pretty evenly matched and in a division game, anything can happen. I just love Nick Saban and the Dolphins defense. Something tells me he will have something up his sleeve for this one, and I’m going to be apart of it. I’ll take the Dolphins (+1) to get back to .500.

Game Three: Washington Redskins (4-9) at New Orleans Saints (9-4)
The Saints are a having one terrific season. Drew Brees is having an MVP year, Reggie Bush is finally showing that he is the top talent we all thought he was, and Sean Payton should win Coach of the Year. The Saints are in the middle of an NFC East 3-spot after beating Dallas last week. Next week, they travel to N.Y. to face the Giants. That means this weekend is that classic letdown game I love to bet on. A team completely in shambles between two playoff contenders is just ripe for the picking. I’m going Skins (+10).

Game Four: St. Louis Rams (5-8) at Oakland Raiders (2-11)
This is it folks, the big game of the weekend. There is no game this weekend I like more than this one. The Raiders are a horrible team. It is so obvious; I dare you to make a case against that statement. Go ahead and try...it cannot be done. How can a team widely thought of as the worst in the league (by a large margin) be giving three points on Sunday? Simple, the people who make the lines know more than anyone. This is an obvious suck-in game, and I will not fall into the Vegas trap. If you read this, I hope you don’t either. I’m going Raiders (-3) this weekend all the way to the bank. Wow, I can’t believe I just said that…

Week 14 NFL Picks

Is there anything better than football in December? Sure, you could say the holidays are nice, being with family and all. It’s also nice to have those few extra days off of work. But wouldn’t you rather have some extra cash? Lucky for you folks, I’m here to give you those weekly winners again.

Last weekend, I went 3-1 in the NFL. That puts me at 20-9 on the season so far. This weekend I’m going to go 4-0. The only question is...will you be in on the wins too? The numbers don’t lie, and you can't argue with results. Speaking of results, here are this weekend’s winners…

Game One: Indianapolis Colts (10-2) at Jacksonville Jaguars (7-5).

The Colts won the AFC South last season after beating the Jags in Florida. This year, Jacksonville has been a very tough place for opponents to play. The Jaguars have only given up 47 points in 6 games (5-1) at Alltel Stadium on the season. I love a good defense over a good offense any day. Bet on the Jags (pick) and watch Jacksonville run wild on Indy.

Game Two: Tennessee Titans (5-7) at Houston Texans (4-8).

The Titans have been on a terrific run these last few weeks, behind Vince Young and a solid defense. They not only beat the Eagles and Giants, but last weekend they came from 14 points back to defeat the Colts. This weekend, Tennessee gets to play a perennial doormat in the Texans. That's of course why I’m taking the Texans! I look for David Carr and Andre Johnson to both have big days on Sunday. Take the Texans (-1), you’ll be happy you did.

Game Three: Seattle Seahawks (8-4) at Arizona Cardinals (3-9).

The Cardinals haven't exactly been the greatest franchise recently. Actually, they haven’t even won two games in a row since November of 2004. Can you believe that? They couldn’t win two games in a row in two years! In today’s NFL, with the parity of most Super Bowl Champs not even making the playoffs the following year (Rams, Pats, & probably the Steelers), teams can back into back-to-back wins. Sorry about that...a lot of “back” there. Anyhow, the Cardinals are up to the challenge this weekend. I look for Arizona (+3) to pull it off a win, but most certainly to cover the points.

Game Four: Chicago Bears (10-2) at St. Louis Rams (5-7).

Monday Night Football is back on the list folks, and this is a big one. The Bears, especially Rex Grossman’s, last appearance on Monday night was unforgettable. It was mostly unforgettable because of the horrid play of the quarterback. Luckily for Chicago, the defense and special teams were able to score enough points to bring the team from behind in Arizona. This week, Rex won’t be so lucky. The Rams offense, although quiet of late, is still very capable of putting up points against any team. The Rams have also won their last five home games on Monday night, and with four straight wins against the Bears, I’m feeling that St. Louis just has their number. I’m taking the Rams (+6) on Monday night.

I’m well on my way to another big weekend. Are you on board?

Week 13 NFL Picks

I’m back! That’s right, you heard me. Just like The Terminator himself - I’m back. A weekend away was just what I needed to refuel the system and prepare myself for the stretch run of winners you are about to see. Seriously, I think it might be a crime in some states to be this good.

In the NFL, I am 17-8 (68% winners), which is more than enough to make some good money. Say you gamble $100 on every game I have picked. Do the math (don’t forget about the juice) and you should be up around $820. That money is only over a six week period...imagine if I had started picking games from the beginning. Anyhow, Week 13 has many promising winners, but here are the four strongest plays.

Game One: Atlanta Falcons (5-6) at Washington Redskins (4-7). The Falcons have lost four straight games, and now have to go on the road to play the Redskins, who seem to be playing much better behind young quarterback Jason Campbell. Look for the Redskins to load the box with eight, or even some nine man fronts, and make Vick beat them through the air. He can’t, so take the Redskins (-2) just like I will.

Game Two: Detroit Lions (2-9) at New England Patriots (8-3). Can you say, “Let down game?” I sure can, and this is just that. After beating the Bears at home last weekend, the Pats now host the Lions before traveling to Miami next weekend to play the newly resurgent Dolphins. Throw in a game against a team like the Lions between a huge primetime game and a tough division game with playoff implications, and you have the recipe for a major letdown. I look for the Lions (+13.5) to cover this one using big plays in the passing game to keep the game close.

Game Three: Indianapolis Colts (10-1) at Tennessee Titans (4-7). Vince Young has arrived. That comeback win against the Giants last week showed me, along with many other doubters, that he isn’t only a running quarterback. The pass he threw to Jones to make the score 21-20 (extra point pending), could not have been a better thrown ball. Add in Travis Henry (who has been running like a bull lately) and a defense that is finally showing up to games, and you have the recipe for an upset here. I’m not going to get greedy, but I could see the Titans winning this game. Let’s take them with the points just to be sure. Take the Titans (+7.5) and when it’s over, you can kiss my shoes.

Game Four: San Diego Chargers (9-2) at Buffalo Bills (5-6). The Chargers have been lights out the last few weeks, coming from behind to keep their five game winning streak alive. The Bills meanwhile, have had two dramatic wins in the last two weeks, and this week could bring another. I honestly feel the Bills will win this game. The Chargers have been getting behind early in games, and then just turning it on late. You can only give so many head starts before you lose a race. This could be that loss for the Chargers. I like the Bills to win this game outright, so you know I love the Bills (+6).

Week 12 NFL Picks

Let me start by saying Happy Thanksgiving to everyone. I know you all wanted to get your Christmas shopping done on Black Friday, counting on another undefeated week of picks from yours truly, but unfortunately it was not to be. I did go 2-2 last weekend though, and with a season total of 16-6 online, last weekend's letdown can only be considered a speed bump on the highway to Money Town.

With the holiday weekend taking up a significant amount of my time, I will not be able to write my usual full column with paragraphs explaning why each winner will be a winner. What I can do is make sure I at least give you the winners to play this weekend. Think of it as an early Christmas gift. With that in mind, play these three games and you can buy your lady a new car for Christmas...in cash...on Monday morning!

Game One: Panthers (6-4) at Redskins (3-7). Play the Redskins (+4) because six of the seven times these two have played each other, the game has been decided by three points or less.

Game Two: Bengals (5-5) at Browns (3-7). Play on the Browns (+3) in this battle of instate, division rivals that should go down to the wire.

Game Three: Eagles (5-5) at Colts (9-1). Play the Eagles (+8.5) and look for Brian Westbrook and company to go out and prove that they are a TEAM of professionals this weekend. The Birds could be on a mission to show the world that Donovan McNabb is not their whole team.

Happy Gambling to you all and I will return next weekend with my full column.

Happy Holidays!

Week 11 NFL Picks

Well, do you believe me now? After two straight weeks of nothing but winners, I would certainly hope so. I mean what else do I have to do, levitate? I’m gifted, it’s true, but I can only do so much. I can give you another weekend of winners though! Without further ado, here we go…

Game One: First off, we go up North to find the New England Patriots (6-3) playing the Green Bay Packers (4-5) at hallowed Lambeau Field. The Patriots are coming off two straight losses for the first time since December of 2002. The Packers, meanwhile, have won three of their last four games to pull within reach of the final playoff spot in the NFC. In the battle of Brady vs Favre, who do we take? Well, I know that most of you are would want to take Tom Brady. He has been nothing but clutch since he came into the league and I can understand why you would like the Pats. Favre however, has his team playing well enough to scare teams lately, something Packers fans haven’t seen in quite some time. Personally, I’m taking the Packers (+5.5) this weekend. You can bet on Brady, but I’m taking Brett. I would advise you do the same.

Game Two: Next up on the list, we head to Cleveland where the Browns (3-6) and the Steelers (3-6) will face each other yet again. Cleveland has been waiting a long time to avenge their home loss to Pittsburgh last season. During their Super Bowl season, the Steelers came into Cleveland and beat the Browns 41-0 on Christmas Eve. This game has payback written all over it. Take the Browns (+3.5) this weekend and rejoice in yet another Steelers loss.

Game Three: The biggest game on the NFL schedule this weekend has the Colts (9-0) making their way South to take on the Cowboys (5-4) in Dallas. Peyton Manning has been great all season, but the Colts rush defense has been just the opposite. Enter Bill Parcells...this man will run the ball, run the ball, and then maybe run the ball a little more. I look for Julius Jones and Marion Barber III to put up very large rushing numbers against the Colts this weekend, helping their team to a victory. Yes, you heard me correctly - the Cowboys (pick) will WIN this weekend and hand the Colts their first loss of the season. Don’t you want to be in on it?

Game Four: Are you ready for some football? That was terrible, let’s try that again. ARE YOU READY FOR SOME FOOTBALL? Now...that was better. This Monday night, the Jaguars (5-4) welcome the Giants (6-3) to town. The Jags defense is one of the toughest around, and Tiki Barber won’t find much room to run. That will leave Eli Manning responsible for the Giants offense, and that doesn’t bode well for them. I like the Jaguars here in a very tough match-up for the Giants. Take the Jags (-3.5) Monday night and you’ll never ask me to levitate again.

Week 10 NFL Picks

Now, that’s what I’m talkin’ about! A 5-0 week is just what I was looking for, and I’m sure it helped you out as well…if you were wise and listened to me. That undefeated week puts me at 10-4 in the NFL since I started writing for SixTalkingHeads. Sure, 10-4 is a nice record...but I don’t want "nice." I don’t want to just be average. I want to dominate. I don’t want anything but winners and I know that you don't either. So here they are…

Game One: The first game this week takes us to Tennessee where the Titans (2-6) are playing host to the Baltimore Ravens (6-2). Last week, the Ravens won in impressive fashion over the Bengals, while the Titans were smoked by 30 points in Jacksonville. So the Ravens are the easy pick, right? No...not right. I’ll take a team returning home off a horrible road loss to rebound over a road team coming off a big home victory anytime. Let’s take the Titans (+7) this week and we'll laugh together when it’s over.

Game Two: Next up on the list, we head to Indy where the Colts (8-0) welcome the Bills (3-5) to the Dome. Now I like the Colts - I think they are going to win this game. And when you saw that line come out at eleven points, I'm sure you just loved the Colts too, didn't you? Yeah, I thought so. That’s why the smart bet this weekend is the Bills (+12) on the road. I know you think I’m crazy, but was I crazy last week when I took the Dolphins? No - I wasn’t crazy then and I’m not crazy now. So let’s do this!

Game Three: For our third game, we have the aforementioned Miami Dolphins (2-6) hosting the Kansas City Chiefs (5-3) in Florida. Miami had a major win last week in their upset of the Bears. The Chiefs also had a big win on the road against the Rams. Though both teams are coming off big wins on the road, I have to give it to the home team in this one. Nick Saban did something right during that bye week and he has his team playing well again. Let’s take the Dolphins (-1) this weekend and watch the Chiefs wish they only had to visit Miami in the off season.

Game Four: Finally this week, we have the Denver Broncos (6-2) traveling to California to play the Raiders (2-6) in Oakland. Last weekend, Denver went to Pittsburgh and really took it to the Champs. For thier part, Oakland struggled mightily in Seattle on Monday night. Oakland was in fact so inept that they didn’t even score a single point, marking the fifth time in eight games this season they haven’t scored a touchdown on offense. So it's an obvious win for the Broncos here, eh? Right...but not by too much. Take the Raiders (+9) in what I expect to be a very close game.

Week 9 NFL Picks

Well, that was better, wasn’t it? A 3-1 Sunday is the kind of day I like to see. As for Monday, I have no excuse. The numbers said to take the Vikes, so that’s what I did. I have made some adjustments to account for similar games in the future, so no worries there. Also, because of that upsetting Monday night game, I have once again thrown an extra game into my picks this week. That’s right folks, another 5 pick week. Mark ‘em down, and let’s get going.

Game One: The fist game on the list takes us to Detroit, where the Lions (1-6) welcome the Atlanta Falcons (5-2) to town. Upon first look, it would appear that this is just another walk in the park game for the Falcons. However, lets keep in mind that the Falcons are coming off two big wins the last two weeks, over the reigning Super Bowl Champion Steelers and the mighty Bengals of Cincinnati. This team is flying high right now, with Mr. Vick playing like a top rated passer. The problem is that they are flying so high, they don’t see the Lions as a real threat. That will change during tomorrow’s game. I look for Vick to have one of his “off” days and the Lions (+5.5) to cover at home.

Game Two: For game number two, we head to our nation’s capital. The Redskins (2-5) play host to the Cowboys (4-3) this weekend. The Cowboys, rolling after a big road win in Carolina last week, are feeling pretty good about their new quarterback. The Redskins, fresh off their bye week, are looking to rebound after a frustrating first half of the season. Circumstances coming out of their bye week were similar last year , and Joe Gibbs rallied them to a 5 -0 mark with 5 straight 100 yard rushing games by Clinton Portis. I think the Skins (+3) turn it around this weekend and take the Cowboys down a notch.

Game Three: This game finds the Houston Texans (2-5) headed to New Jersey to face the Giants (5-2) in the Meadowlands. The Texans lost to the Titans last week, despite out-gaining Tennessee by 230 yards. What happened? Well, 5 turnovers happened, and David Carr sat on the bench for a while because of it. This week, Carr is back and out to prove he should be a starter in this league. The Giants are winning games, but they just don’t seem to be a team that is going to blow people out. Also, the only time these two teams have faced each other since 2001, the Texans beat the Giants 16-14 in the Meadowlands. I will take the Texans (+13) on Sunday…and you would be wise to do the same.

Game Four: The undefeated Chicago Bears (7-0) have had a pretty easy schedule so far this season. The defense is as good as ever, and the offense seems to have found its way behind quarterback Rex Grossman. This weekend, they get the Miami Dolphins (1-6) at home in Soldier Field. Miami was a popular pick to be a surprise team this year, possibly even unseating the Patriots as AFC East Champs. Injuries and poor play from the QB have changed the outlook for Miami’s season. Put these two teams together, and it just looks like a big win for Chicago, right? WRONG! I’m taking the Dolphins (+13.5) this weekend. Nick Saban, fresh of a bye, will have something in store for the Bears, and I can’t wait to see what it is.

Bonus Game: Last, but certainly not least, the Cleveland Browns (2-5) travel to San Diego this weekend to take on the Chargers (5-2). Philip Rivers is having a great year as a first time starter, and he deserves a lot of the credit for keeping that team playing well after losing Drew Brees. Of course, it never hurts to have a guy in the backfield like LT2, either. The Browns aren’t exactly having their finest season, but they have a man at the helm by the name of Romeo Crennel. He isn’t a household name like Bill Parcells or Joe Gibbs, but there is one thing he has always done well. He can scheme for an offense like no other. If you don’t believe me, just asking Peyton Manning how much fun it was playing against his Patriot defenses. I think the Browns, with Romeo’s scheme and coming off a big win last week at home, will keep this game low scoring. You have to love a big underdog in a low scoring game. Honestly, if the Browns can manage 10 points on Sunday, I think they cover this line. So let’s take the Browns (+12.5) and root for Romeo and his defense to send Rivers back to the sea. And no, even though I have picked them 3 straight weeks, I am not a Browns fan...but I will be this weekend!

Week 8 NFL Picks

Well that just sucked, didn’t it? A 2-2 opening week is just not good enough, is it? The answer is no, it’s not. A .500 batting average might make you the greatest baseball player of all time, but in the world of sports gambling it doesn’t even come close to great. This weekend I settle all the scores. I’m out for the cash, so either follow me or get out of my way. I take no prisoners this time!

Game One: The first game this week takes us to New Jersey of all places. The Giants (4-2) return home this week to play host to the Buccaneers (2-4) from Tampa Bay. The Bucs have played well enough to win the last two weeks, but their run stops here. They got lucky against the Bengals, and they got a 62 yard field goal as time expired to beat the Eagles last weekend. This weekend in the Meadowlands, their luck runs out. I look for Tiki Barber and his Giants (-9) to show twin brother Rhonde and his Bucs just how football is played. Giants win this one by a couple of touchdowns.

Game Two: The second game on my list finds us in Denver with the Colts (6-0) paying the Broncos (5-1) a visit. Indy has been dominating this match-up over the last few years, but the tide is about to turn. Denver is averaging 143.3 rushing yards/game. Combine that with the Colts rush defense giving up 158 yards/game, and you have a game made in Mike Shanahan’s heaven. Look for Tatum Bell to pile up huge numbers for Denver, while the Broncos defense reminds Peyton Manning what it’s like to play against a team with talent on both sides of the ball. Take the Broncos (-3) and thank me when it’s over.

Game Three: Well, this is a familiar place. Back to Cleveland we go to find the Browns (1-5) welcoming the Jets (4-3) to town. Last week, I had you take the Browns, and they failed to show up. This week, they pay us back. The Browns need a win at home this weekend to show their fans they haven’t given up yet. Add in the fact their next two games are on the road against two very tough teams (San Diego and Atlanta), and this becomes a must win game for Cleveland. The Jets have no such problem; after this game they have their bye week. This time of the season, it wouldn’t surprise me to see a few players looking forward to that week off and take a team like the Browns a little too lightly. Look for the Browns (-2.5) to come out strong and send the Jets into their bye week looking to refuel their engines.

Game Four: My last game this week is the big one. It’s Monday Night Football baby! Are you ready? Are you ready for some football? This week, the Patriots (5-1) travel to Minnesota to take on the Vikings (4-2) in Primetime. Now let me just get to the point and tell you that this is the big game for the Vikings. In contrast, the big game for the Pats is next week when they play host to the Colts on Sunday night. I know people say that there is no such thing as a “look ahead game” in the pros, but you can’t tell me New England isn’t thinking about playing the Colts on a short week. The Vikings are playing strong defense this year and the noise in the Dome will be deafening when the Pat's offense is on the field. I’m taking the Vikings (+2) all the way to the bank. Do the same, and you’ll name your first born child after me.

Bonus Game: What’s this, a 5th game? That’s right folks, a 5th game. I’m not going to make this a habit, but I thought I would throw an extra winner out there since I only hit the .500 mark last weekend. So listen up, because I’m not going to speak long about this one. Baltimore (4-2) is in New Orleans to play the Saints (5-1) this Sunday. The Saints are having a great year so far, but every great season has a bump in the road. That bump is the Baltimore Ravens. The Ravens have spent the last two weeks preparing for this game. You give a defense like that two weeks to study your team, and you had better hope they forget half of what they learned. Maybe then you only lose by 3 points. Add to that the fact that coach Brian Billick is taking over the offense to get Jamal Lewis and co. back on track, and you have a recipe for winners. Take the Ravens (+2), and when you speak of me, speak well.

Week 7 NFL Picks

Fresh off my Monday Night win with the Cards (+12.5) I feel confident in giving you some advice on your weekly gambling habit.

First, quit now! Gambling is bad for you…especially if you suck at it. Most people have no idea what they are doing and no business putting money on games, unless they have read this column of course.

Second, play smart. If you don’t agree with something you read in this column, don’t bet that game. It’s your money - you shouldn’t let others tell you what to do with it. I don’t claim to win every game I play, but I do win enough to let me write this with the confidence that I will have yet another winning week in my wallet.

In this column, both today and in the future, I give you the picks you need to get yourself out from under that rock. Use these picks wisely and you'll never have to hide from “your guy” again. I play the picks I write about, so whether I win or lose, you’ll see it in writing. So if you have the guts, the gall, and of course the bankroll…follow me to weekend glory.

Game One: This game comes to you from Houston, TX where the Texans (1-4) play host to the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2). The Jags (fresh off their bye week) travel to Houston looking to keep pace with the Colts (5-0) in the AFC South. After getting blown out in Dallas last week, the Texans look to come back strong at home with #1 pick and rookie stud Reggie Bu…oh, sorry, I wrote that part a while ago and just never got to use it. Anyhow, I look for the Texans (+9.5) to cover and play the Jags tough at home. Since 2001, these two have played eight times, with Houston either winning outright or losing by a touchdown in six of those games. Look for this weekend to make it 7 of 9.

Game Two: The next game on the winner’s list takes us to Buffalo, where the Bills (2-4) welcome the New England Patriots (4-1) to town. Despite all the talk before the season about how many players they lost, the Pats have been rolling this season and look to continue that trend this weekend. The Bills, however, have revenge on their minds after losing at New England in September when the Pats got a safety to break a 4th quarter tie and win 19-17. The Bills (+5) take it to the Pats at home this week and finish what they started in Week 1.

Game Three: The third game on the list finds us in Arrowhead Stadium where LT2 will lead his Chargers (4-1) against the division rival Chiefs (2-3) and fellow running back Larry Johnson. The Chiefs are 6-4 against the Chargers in their last 10 games with two of the losses being by a field goal or less. Arrowhead is known for being one of the toughest stadiums to play in and this weekend the Chiefs (+5) and their fans will show the Chargers just how that reputation was earned. Welcome back to earth Mr. Rivers.

Game Four: Last but not least we have the Denver Broncos (4-1) in Cleveland this weekend to take on the Browns (1-4). The last time these two met was in December 2003 when Denver won 23-20 in Cleveland. Not much has changed since then as Cleveland is still picking near the top of the draft and Denver is still producing 1,000 yard rushers and playoff appearances. I look for this game to be very similar to the one three years ago - take the Browns (+4.5) and roll in your cash come Sunday night.